Hittite Microwave (HITT)

5 03 2007

Here is a chart that has recently caught my attention again. Hittite Microwave (HITT) has had solid earnings growth. Hitt was a real high flier when it reported slightly lower revenue in October 2006 and subsequently received a 10%+ haircut (first gap). It traded lower and has recently shot back to $44 on a great earnings report (second gap). Look for the stock to trade back down to around $38 (on lighter volume of course).
I’ll be a buyer at that price.




MEMC Electronic Materials (WFR)

5 03 2007

MEMC Electronics (WFR) is holding up extremely well! If the relative strength continues I’m definately going to pick up some shares again.

Remember, the most important thing to be doing during a correction is keeping a good CANSLIM watch list and acting upon it when the market has a follow-through day.
If you get bored, eat some Cadbury Eggs. They only come once a year!





The Far East Selloff Continues

4 03 2007

The Nikkei is down 2% in the first half of the trading day along with Shanghai. All of the American index futures are testing out the recent lows.

Chart for S&P 500 INDEX March 2007

Chart for NIKKEI 225 March 2007

Should be another exciting day!

If the futures hold I might get long at the open.





IBD and this correction

3 03 2007
I’m pretty disappointed by the market timing methods of IBD during these last few months. Neither the S&P 500 or Nasdaq distribution day count methods predicted last Tuesday’s selloff. IBD tracks these days and recommends going into cash when there are 4 or 5 distribution days within four weeks. Luckily for me, I have been cautious mainly because of the guidance of Tom O’Brien. It was with this caution that I was able to act quickly when the market gaped down.

It was a matter of luck that the “Ask Bill” segment on the Tom O’Brien show aired this last Wednesday, where people get to ask Bill O’Neil about his investing strategy. During the interview someone asked if we were in a correction now even though the S&P and Nasdaq only had two distribution days. In a smug tone, O’Neil replied that the Dow Jones Industrial Average had shown 4 days of distribution prior to the selloff. I’m sorry, but your paper doesn’t track the Dow industrials Bill, so a lot of good that does us. It is this kind of after-the-fact analysis that gives technical analysis a bad name. It also really irritates me a scientist.

So here is the chart of the DOW. An average that I have consistently heard people disregard due to its small size (only 30 companies). The take home message here is that IBD’s market timing method isn’t perfect.




Bullish in the short term.

2 03 2007

Good news. I was just listening to the Tom O’Brien show and it turns out that he turned bullish at around 3 pm eastern time. He loaded up on the QLD’s.

Wow, its a good sign if I’m thinking like Tom.





QID Crash Trade

2 03 2007

The market picked a terrible week to get so exciting (at least for me). I had a conference to attend all week and my future wife was in town (we are living apart for a few months). Nevertheless, I was able to get into all cash, put down a sizeable QID bet and make some gold buys.

First, check out my QID trade that began with the huge downdraft of Teusday. Like I said before, I made the buy just after the market opened on Teusday. I got in at about 52.59. I closed the trade today just before the close at 56.35. That is a 7% gain in four days. Not bad.

I closed the trade because I’m looking for a big bounce. I almost bought some calls or the QLD (double the Nasdaq) just before the close today but just didn’t have the balls. I will look to jump on board the bullish side at the open on monday.

Earlier in the week I also bought some shares of Harmony Gold.




CNBC

1 03 2007

Wow, CNBC is so pathetic. I feel sorry for Becky (my future wife) who had to witness me screaming and laughing at the coverage after yesterday’s “rebound”. Just look at the headline. (Back on Track The rebound is here and the bull ride is on)

I wonder if these guys have every traded a stock? Have they ever looked at a chart?

50 point gain after a 400+ loss is a recovery?

Just get short on the next bounce or get out of the way!!!