Lam Research Corp (LRCX): TD Sequential Buy

31 03 2008

Is it me or is the market kind of boring recently?  I must be getting used to these perilous one day drops that seem to look like the end of capitalism. 

So what do I do when I’m bored?  I scan for TD Sequential charts.  LRCX completed a perfected countdown last week.  I would gun for a bounce to 44, with a 8% stop-loss.

lrcx.png





TD Sequential Short with Chesapeake Corp (CSK)

30 03 2008

Chesapeake Corp (CSK) gives an interesting example of a different way to use a TD Sequential Buy countdown to identify a low-risk short.  The method is very simple, you first identify a chart that has closed below it’s TD Sequential Buy stop-loss and has then climbed back for the retest.  The entry is the failed retest.  Chesapeake has failed its retest and is a good short play.  Look for it to head back to the lows 3.05. 

 ches_short.png





TD Sequential Buys- PG&E and Progress Energy

30 03 2008

energy.png

Here are a couple swing-type trades with some energy providers.  PG&G Corp (PCG) and Progress Energy (PGN) have both completed TD Sequential countdowns at the lower end of their consolidations.  They are both near well defined stop-loss points and give a nice risk-reward ratio.  If you can’t decide between the two, I would recommend the PGN chart.   





Nice Bounce for Watson & Wyatt

27 03 2008

ww.png

After a breakout from a double bottom base, WW bounced off of the 50 day moving average, giving you another chance to get into the stock.  This is a text book IBD chart formation.   

 I have owned it since the original breakout and added more yesterday. 





Contrary Indicator Moratorium

25 03 2008

I’m as guilty as the next guy, but I think it is time to stop declaring the latest contrary indicator. 

Oh wait, can I throw just one more into the mix?  Yes?  Ok thanks.

Sorry, Fox Business! CNBC Has Best Week In Five Years

 That was the last one, I promise (or at least until the next bear market). 





New Buys

25 03 2008

I started an initial position for three stocks this morning. 

CH Robinson Worldwide CHRW

Nike NKE

Landstar System Inc LSTR

I also added to my position in Axsys Technologies AXYS





XHB, The Homebuilders ETF

23 03 2008

xhb.png

This chart keeps jumping out at me.  It is the homebuilders ETF and it looks pretty bullish to me.  It has broken its downtrend with conviction while the housing news continues to get worse.  This kind of action makes me feel like we have seen the worst of this bear market. 





The Opposite of Crash

18 03 2008

Is there an opposite of crash?  Rally or melt-up are terms that don’t seem to describe what happened today. 

I not only had the pleasure of sitting right in front of some screaming baby on my flight today, but I also got to watch all today’s market action on Delta’s live CNBC feed.  It was pretty fun, especially for a bull. 

My bullishness has been based on technicals and sentiment.  If you are looking for an excellent fundamental reason to be bullish, go read a recent post from Doug Kass.  It might be a real eye-opener. 





USA Today Contrary Indicator

18 03 2008

My flight was cancelled so I have some extra time for a post.  As is the case for most hotels, guests are provided a copy of USA Today, which is the only time I will ever look through this lame publication. 

So what is on the front page?  The headline reads, ”Red Flags in Bear Stearns’ Collape” and the lead says “If the US economy were a car, all of its warning lights would be flashing red”. 

Warning lights?  I think anyone who has been following this crisis would say that those lights would have been flashing last summer.  I would argue that the car is either in the shop being fixed, or is sitting in the parking lot waiting for its owner to pick it up and drive away.  I’m still bullish and am more convinced than ever that the selling has been exhausted. 





Back on the road

17 03 2008
I’m back on the road and will not be posting for another couple days.  It sucks to be missing all of these market fireworks!!!