What is this mess and why are we here?

20 09 2008

Thanks to excellent newsletters (John Mauldin), financial blogs (The Big Picture), and Tom O’Brien, I have been reading and talking about credit default swaps, the housing implosion, a general disregard of risk, and the impending financial crisis for at least 2 years.  The great thing is that the information has been out there for some time and it allowed me to be ready for a 20% drop in the markets by being in cash and shorting some of the most vulnerable and over leveraged stocks.  The bad thing is that, with a few exceptions, the main stream media has totally dropped the ball on alerting the public to the obvious problems as well as doing a horrible job of educating them once the crisis began last year. 

For those of you who still don’t know what the hell is happening and why, go listen to a couple of interviews Terry Gross of NPR’s Fresh Air did with Michael Greenberger, a former director of the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission.  The first estimates have each and every American paying $7,000 for this bailout.  I think you might want to learn a little about what is going on. 

Michael Greenberger: Sept. 17, 2008

Michael Greenberger: April 3, 2008





More worrying about energy

20 07 2008

I’m in Keystone, CO for a nanotech conference this week and my head is killing me.  I’m staying at the River Run Village which is over 9000 feet high.  My body is definitely not used to the altitude yet. 

On the flight out here I was listening to some old “Talk of the Nation” podcasts (I especially like Science Friday shows) and they had someone from the Center for Energy and Environmental Studies at Boston University on the show to talk about offshore and ANWR drilling.  I often wonder why there is such a push to get ANWR opened up and I finally learned why from this interview.  It seems that the Alaska pipeline will be transporting less and less oil as the reserve it was originally built to transport starts to dwindle.  If new oil can be tapped, it will have the previously constructed pipeline available for no added cost, which means big money.  Go listen to the interview.

 I’m not against oil exploration but I can’t stand the fact that the politicians fight over this issue while the really important decisions continue to be ignored.  More drilling alone isn’t going to save our asses.